| Back To Comparative Analysis | ||||||||||||
| HAUGEN SYSTEMS PORTFOLIO BACKTESTS | ||||||||||||
| In this backtest, known as the Rosetta Stone Backtest, we set out to replicate the strategy presented in | ||||||||||||
| The Little Book. For the first factor, Return on Capital, we used the ratio of the trailing 12 month's EBIT divided | ||||||||||||
| by Net Operating Assets (the sum of property, plant, equipment and total current assets, less total current | ||||||||||||
| liabilities). For the second factor, Earnings Yield, we used the trailing 12 months EBIT divided by Enterprise | ||||||||||||
| Value. Just like in the book, we ranked these ratios and combined the rankings for a cumulative score. | ||||||||||||
| We then constructed portfolios with 30 stocks, making sure not to include any stocks from the | ||||||||||||
| Finance and Utility sectors. We also used the population of the top 1,000 stocks by market capitalization. | ||||||||||||
| While Greenblatt did not say exactly how he constrained for liquidity, the top 1,000 stocks have very few, | ||||||||||||
| if any, low-liquidity stocks. The portfolio was then held for one year without any monthly balancing. | ||||||||||||
| Once the backtest was complete, we linked the returns to get annualized results. Then we ran 11 more tests, | ||||||||||||
| with each test beginning in a different month. For example, to see how the strategy would do if the test began in | ||||||||||||
| February, we formed a portfolio of 30 stocks beginning in February, 1997; held the stocks for one year, and | ||||||||||||
| linked the returns. | ||||||||||||
| The following worksheet presents the results from all 12 backtests for this methodology along with several other | ||||||||||||
| methodologies. These other methodologies used similar factors to Greenblatt's, in order to see how GARP | ||||||||||||
| investing would have done in general. But otherwise we did not make an attempt to replicate Greenblatt's strategy | ||||||||||||
| in these other strategies; for example our return on assets factor does not include earnings before interest and | ||||||||||||
| taxes, but is rather the ratio of operating income to assets. In addition, our earnings yield does not use enterprise | ||||||||||||
| value, but is rather the ratio of the most recently reported 12 months earnings per share to the current market price. | ||||||||||||
| Finally, the last two worksheets graphically show how the cumulative returns from five selected methodologies | ||||||||||||
| performed over the time period of the study | ||||||||||||